NFL Insider Notebook: Predict the possible outcomes of contractual positions with Kyler Murray, Aaron Donald and more

The ongoing off-season drama in the NFL has surrounded quarterbacks, almost exclusively.

Who knows where Baker Mayfield will land, when he will land there, and how much of his salary Brown will eat to facilitate the transition. If Jimmy Garoppolo could ramp up his throwing program in July after shoulder surgery, where would he go? How many matches will DeShaun Watson miss due to suspension, and when will we learn about this system?

There is still a lot to reveal, and just because things seem a bit quiet now in the lull between enlistment and mandatory mini-camps, that doesn’t mean all is well. There are certainly some key players around this league considering whether or not they will engage in ‘voluntary’ or mandatory off-season work, whether or not they will implement a ‘suspension’ (eg attending but essentially withholding football services) or whatever. If they can put up a public trade order.

Do not confuse the relative lack of external conflict with the concept that things are a great thing. In many cases, this is not the case. There are definitely some players I will be watching closely in the coming months – for what they say and what they do; Or what they remove from their social media — and there’s no shortage of situations that require a delicate touch whether regarding a new contract, succumbing to a demand to leave town, dealing with an objector…or all of the above.

These are some of the situations where things can get worse before they get better, if they do get better at all:

His desire to secure a new contract at the top of the market after three volatile seasons since he was first selected is generally well known now. This was the most public of the dispute, with Murray deleting all references to the team from his social media and his representative posting a statement about the need for the Cardinals to pay him. Some have calmed since then, landing a former college classmate’s Hollywood Brown was a nice touch, but paying Murray over $45 million a year is a risky proposition. Durability and productivity are called into question.

Possible result: The property has given a new deal to beleaguered coach Cliff Kingsbury, and I suspect Murray will get paid too, although full warranties and compensation structure would be fantastic.

At this point, all sides seem resigned to the fact that a new deal is highly unlikely. Owner Steve Bisciotti doesn’t seem willing to pay a $200 million check, nor does he guarantee that about $250 million doesn’t see Jackson involved in much of the contract discussions. Baltimore’s pre-season bid didn’t get them anywhere and was only worth about $35 million a year, I’ve been reporting since February, and the QB market has exploded again since then.

Possible result: The franchise mark of 2023, and beyond who knows.

At this point, all sides seem resigned to the fact that a new deal is highly unlikely. Owner Steve Bisciotti doesn’t seem willing to pay a $200 million check, nor does he guarantee that about $250 million doesn’t see Jackson involved in much of the contract discussions. Baltimore’s pre-season bid didn’t get them anywhere and was only worth about $35 million a year, I’ve been reporting since February, and the QB market has exploded again since then.

Possible result: The franchise mark of 2023, and beyond who knows.

With two years remaining on his deal, and the Broncos putting their franchise into his own hands, now would be a good time to push him back in. The price will only go up, especially if he has a top player season, and Denver faces the specter of having to use a tag in 2024, a gulp. Having that kind of uncertainty for a young QB-centric coach sounds silly to me, and you don’t make a deal like that unless you intend to secure QB long-term. Maybe the Broncos’ ambiguous ownership situation is missing a bit, or dragging him out, but I can’t see him getting any deeper into the season.

Possible result: massive extension

What a time to be the future of the elite. And in a team that headed into a pivotal season with Super Bowl aspirations and an inexperienced quarterback. The 49ers didn’t get what they would have needed to lure him away from the draft, and anyone meeting that price now seems unlikely (and the 2023 draft picks won’t help him win a game this season). The 49 were never shy about paying their senior men, and Samuel did a good job of enforcing the order. A surrender would hamper Trey Lance’s growth at QB. Yes, he wanted it, but he wants to have the fortune of a generation after that, and somewhere in the range of $23-25 ​​million a year he should make it happen. With QB making peanuts, now is the time to do just that.

Possible outcome: massive extension

Never discount the power of a retirement card when in the hands of a transformative talent. Donald is considered one of the best defensive tackles in league history, and any Rams attempt to replicate it as Super Bowl champions will be thwarted without him, and everyone knows it. This owner spent $5 billion to build his own stadium. He’s got the coin, and he’s not averse to spending it on the payroll. It might take a while, because we all know Donald won’t see a moment in pre-season, anyway, but there seems to be one real endgame here:

Possible result: massive extension

I think this can get explosive. It was Washington’s offense, with no legitimate QB play or consistent running game. He’s the leader and the alpha on this side of the ball. It is permanent and exceptional. Finally, the Titans AJ Brown moved quite a bit, I’m told, because he wasn’t peaking enough (topping about 70 percent of the shots). The fearsome Terry is 80-90% a man and has never had Derek Henry, or even the peak of Tannehill. The fact that we didn’t hear any peeps about them getting anywhere near the trade should frighten fans of the Leaders, given how much the WR market has turned this season and how much turmoil we’ve already seen in this position. Does this franchise have a bedside way and nuances of handling this situation if it becomes suspicious? And I can’t help but wonder if at least another receiver has been distributed (DK Metcalf might be that guy too).

Possible result: I can’t rule out trade here. You have to think about this franchise and drive it at the highest level.

I keep hearing Quinn wants out of Chicago – and who can blame him? – A group of interested teams. The Bears Brass told everyone he wasn’t going anywhere, but they would keep wondering and that wasn’t lost on the veteran defensive end. The Bears look miserable, they’ve already dealt with their hasty veteran Khalil Mack, and it doesn’t look like Achim Hicks will ever be back. The team is in transition under new management, Quinn exits monster season with 18.5 sacks. He just turned 32 and wants to win, and he’s also absolutely stealing this season ($13 million); If he gets a deal, the next team will probably sweeten the pot with incentives if nothing else. If the bears are as bad as I was expecting, this will only get worse, and it could be a trade deadline market prize if nothing else (I think he was bringing in more than Von Miller a year ago).

Possible result: trade


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